Mortgage Rates & Market Uncertainty: What Clarkston Homebuyers Need to Know Right Now
Erik Gascho • July 28, 2025
Tariffs, the Fed, and Your Mortgage: What’s Driving Rates in Clarkston This Week?
🌪️ Market Whirlwind: What’s Going On?
It’s been a bumpy few weeks in the financial markets—and if you’re a homebuyer, homeowner, or real estate agent in Clarkston, Waterford, or the greater Oakland County area, you’ve likely noticed mortgage rates jumping around again. Let’s break down why this is happening and what it means for your next move.
1. 📦 Tariffs + Trade Tensions = Higher Inflation Risk
Late last week, headlines buzzed with news of proposed tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles and technology components. While this may seem distant from your local real estate market, these policies have a ripple effect. Why?
Tariffs often lead to higher consumer prices, which fuels inflation. And when inflation rises, mortgage rates usually follow suit—because lenders demand higher returns to keep up with the cost of living.
2. 🏦 The Fed Is Watching… and Waiting
The Federal Reserve met again this month, and while they chose to hold rates steady, their tone was anything but dovish. Chair Jerome Powell emphasized that "more confidence" is needed before rate cuts can begin.
Translation: The Fed wants to see clear, sustained progress on inflation before acting—and recent economic data has been mixed.
Here’s the tricky part: while the Fed doesn’t set mortgage rates directly, its actions heavily influence investor behavior in the bond market, which directly drives mortgage rates.
👀 Local Note: In Michigan, inflation has remained slightly below the national average, but rising auto insurance and utility costs are pushing household budgets tighter—something the Fed is monitoring closely.
3. 💵 Mortgage Rates: What We’re Seeing Now
As of today, average 30-year fixed mortgage rates are hovering in the high 6% to low 7% range, depending on credit score and loan type. Rates dipped slightly last week, but volatility is high due to the tug-of-war between inflation concerns and cooling economic data.
If you’re waiting for “the perfect time” to buy or refinance, this market may feel like a moving target.
🔍 What Should You Do Right Now?
Let’s make this simple.
👉 If You’re a Homebuyer in Clarkston or Nearby:
Don’t wait for rates to drop dramatically. We’re unlikely to see a sharp decline unless economic conditions worsen significantly.
Get fully pre-approved today. Locking in a rate protects you from future spikes while shopping.
Explore rate buydown strategies or builder-paid closing costs in areas like Grand Blanc and White Lake, where incentives are common.
👉 If You’re a Homeowner:
Monitor your current rate. If you’re in the 7s or higher, a refinance might make sense if we dip back into the 6s.
Consider a home equity strategy. Rising home values in Clarkston mean more tappable equity—potentially useful for debt consolidation or renovation.
💬 Let’s Talk: No Pressure, Just a Plan
I get it—this market feels uncertain. But here’s the truth: uncertainty creates opportunity for those who are informed and proactive.
If you’d like a custom mortgage review, a second opinion, or just someone to explain what’s really going on without all the noise, let’s connect.
📅 Book a free call here: erikgascho.youcanbook.me
📱 Or text me directly at 248-214-8526
On July 17, 2025, Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller called for an immediate interest rate cut, citing slowing economic momentum and progress on inflation. If you're a homebuyer or homeowner, this could mean lower mortgage rates, better refinance opportunities, and improved affordability in the coming months. 📣 What Did Waller Say? During a speech in New York hosted by the Money Marketeers of NYU, Fed Governor Christopher Waller made headlines by urging a 0.25% rate cut at the upcoming July 29–30 Fed meeting. Here’s what he emphasized: The U.S. economy is losing steam. GDP growth has slowed from late 2024 highs and consumer spending is weakening. Inflation is near the Fed’s 2% goal. Waller noted that core inflation has been tame and short-term price hikes from new tariffs should be temporary. Act now before job growth deteriorates. He warned that waiting too long could allow economic conditions to worsen unnecessarily. This isn't political. While speculation swirls about Waller potentially replacing Jerome Powell as Fed Chair, Waller made clear: “This recommendation is based on data, not politics.” 🔍 Big Picture: Why the Fed’s Split Matters Waller’s stance is not shared by the majority of the Fed’s decision-makers. Most FOMC members favor holding off until September or later, citing concerns about: Lingering inflation risks The impact of tariffs from President Trump’s trade policies Uncertainty about how resilient the labor market really is However, Waller and Fed Governor Michelle Bowman are pushing for faster action—especially given signs of softening in housing, consumer demand, and hiring trends. 🏠 How This Affects You: Homebuyers & Homeowners 1. Mortgage Rates Could Drop Sooner Than Expected A rate cut by the Fed could lower the cost of borrowing, particularly for: Adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) Home equity lines of credit (HELOCs) Refinance options for homeowners While fixed mortgage rates aren’t directly tied to Fed policy, they often respond to market expectations, which are now pricing in a cut. 2. Affordability Could Improve for Buyers If rates fall and home price appreciation slows alongside the broader economy, buyers may gain more leverage—especially first-time buyers who’ve been priced out. 3. Time to Revisit Refinance Opportunities If you purchased or refinanced during the high-rate cycle of 2023–2024, now may be a good time to start tracking mortgage rates again. A quarter-point drop could translate into meaningful savings, especially over 30 years. 4. Home Equity May Stabilize Waller downplayed tariff inflation as short-term “noise.” That’s good news for long-term homeowners: if inflation remains anchored, it could support stable home values and equity growth without forcing aggressive rate hikes. 🧭 Final Thoughts Waller’s speech was a strong signal that rate relief could be coming sooner than expected. For buyers on the fence and homeowners with high-interest mortgages, this may be the opportunity to act. Want to know what this means for your unique situation? Let’s connect for a free annual financial review to help you understand your options—whether that’s locking in a better rate, evaluating refinance opportunities, or preparing for your next home purchase. 📅 Book a quick call with me here 📱 Or just text me: 248‑214‑8526